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The 49ers have owned the Seahawks in the last two seasons. Four wins in four matchups with an average margin of victory of ~15 points. Both teams are coming off tough losses but these next two weeks might be the “cheapest” we see the 49ers.
The Seahawks are playing their 3rd game in 10 days, and four days ago the Giants held the ball for over 60% of the game. Surely the Seahawks’ defense must be tired, right?
Although Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers have had a thing for blowing big leads lately (apparently it’s in the family), if they don’t take care of the Seahawks tonight, the “fraud” word might start to be thrown around a little bit.
Let’s hope for a straightforward game script tonight. Do what you’re supposed to do, San Francisco…
49ers vs. Seahawks
Source: PFF
Bet Summary | |||
|---|---|---|---|
0.50u | SF 1H -2.5 (@SEA) | -120 | |
0.75u | SF -3.5 (@SEA) | -118 | |
0.50u | SF -6.5 (@SEA) | +134 | |
0.25u | SF -14.5 (@SEA) | +371 | |
1.00u | Jordan Mason O 18.5 longest rush | -110 | |
0.75u | Jordan Mason O 85.5 rush yds | -115 | |
0.25u | Jordan Mason 100+ rush yds | +172 | |
1.25u | George Kittle O 48.5 rec yds | -110 | |
0.50u | George Kittle TD | +222 (30% Profit Boost) 🚀 | |
0.25u | George Kittle 2 TD | +1300 | |
1.00u | Kyle Juszcyk O 6.5 rec yds | -120 | |
0.25u | Kyle Juszcyk 25+ rec yds | +380 | |
0.25u | Kyle Juszcyk 40+ rec yds | +1100 |
Kittle Time
Kittle is over this number in the past three games and since 2018, Kittle is Over it against the Seahawks in 7/10 games. Hunter Henry and Sam LaPorta also already cleared this earlier in the year.
As for the TDs, this is simply a revenge angle - I bet him in a parlay for 1 and 2 last week and he hit one, but the others didn’t. Usually when that happens, they score the next week…so I kind of had to.
My biggest worry here is Kittle’s rib injury on a short week, although he practiced this week which is a great sign. Fingers crossed…
Kyle Juszcyk
This number is simply too low. Just because he didn’t have a reception last week doesn’t mean he’s a gimmick. Juszcyk is used in important games - this is an important game. I could easily see 6.5 yards clear on the first drive…
Jordan Mason
This is pretty simple - it’s a huge number - but it’s simple. Everyone who has watched these teams play knows that the 49ers can run and the Seahawks struggle to defend it.
On top of that, PFF has the 49ers with a 32% offensive line run advantage, which is second only to Detroit this week.
Mason is over this number in all but one game this year and the Seahawks just gave up 129 yards to Tyrone Tracy Jr., who everyone definitely knows.
Mason is also over this Longest attempt in all but one game this year, and by a generally wide margin - so I’ll take a flyer on it.
My worry here is a vulture scenario from rookie, Isaac Guerendo. He hasn’t had a ton of snaps this year but he did have some last week and I have to imagine Mason is tired… although with CMC potentially looming, if you’re Mason, don’t you have to make the absolute most of this opportunity?
No excuses, play like a champion.