NFL Week 2 MNF Bet Summary & Preview

Thought Summary: 

• The Falcons are coming off a very weird Week 1. Cousins took nearly 0 snaps from under center, ran 0 play action plays, and barely left the QB pocket against the Steelers. The Falcons have said he’s fine and will utilize play action in this game, but this is too much variance for me. I like Bijan Robinson receiving props in a game script where the Falcons are playing from behind, but there’s nothing here in which I’m confident enough to play.

• For the Eagles, the biggest question to answer is where do the injured A.J. Brown’s targets go?

  • DeVonta Smith is the natural answer.

  • Dallas Goedert also seems appropriate, but those seem more or less priced in.

  • We could go further down the WR depth chart, but there’s too much uncertainty there for me.

  • What about Saquon? He had two receptions on two targets for 23 yards last week and he ran a route on 86% of passing snaps.

    • The Falcons mostly play zone, and I could see Saquon just sitting down in the middle of the field and catching four or five 5-10 yard receptions, especially with the absence of A.J. Brown.

    • His line is oscillating between 18.5-19.5 at the time of writing, which seems like a smash to me - and then plus money on the alt line at 25 feels good too.

    • And if we’re taking one step on the ladder, we might as well go one more in case he breaks a big one - sprinkle on 60+ yards at +1100 just in case.

FLY EAGLES FLY (but only with Saquon. I don’t care about anyone else tonight).